Probabilistic modelling of CO2 corrosion laboratory data using neural networks
by
Srdjan Nesic, Magnus Nordsveen, Nigel Maxwell and Miran Vrhovac
Abstract

The present paper address two major concerns that were identified when developing neural network based prediction models and which can limit their wider applicability in the industry.

The first problem is that it appears neural network models are not readily available to a corrosion engineer. therefore the first part of this paper describes a neural netwok model of CO2 corrosion which was created using a standard commercial software package and simple modelling stratergies. It was found that such a model was able to capture practically all of the trends noticed in the experiment data with acceptable accuracy. This exercise has proven that corrosion engineer could readily develop a neural network model such as the one described below for any problem at hand, given that sufficient experimental data exist. This applies even in the cases when the undestanding of the underlying process is poor.

The second problem arises from cases when all the required inputs for a model are not known or can be estimated with a limited degree of accuracy. It seems advantageous to have models that can take as input a range rather than a single value. One such model, based on the so-called Monte-Carlo approach, is presented. A number of comparisons are shown which have illustrated how a corrosion engineer might use this approach to rapidly test the sensitivity of a model to the uncertainities associated with the input parameters.

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